Late Quaternary Activityand Seismic Riskof the Gongliunan Fault onthe Southern Margin of the Yining Basin, Xinjiang
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摘要: 巩留南断裂位于伊宁盆地的南部边界,它与喀什河断裂控制着伊宁盆地的形成与发展,以及盆地内新生代地层的沉积与变形。作为新源县内的主要断裂,其晚第四纪活动性对评估新源县地震危险性具有重要意义。本文首先通过深、浅层地震勘探揭示了巩留南断裂的位置和深部几何特征,进而利用地质露头与探槽剖面确定断裂的地表浅层位置,并厘定断层面结构样式,最后采用光释光测年(OSL)的方法确定巩留南断裂活动时代。本研究首次通过深浅层地震勘探、地质剖面研究与光释光测年的多方法耦合,明确了巩留南断裂以逆冲活动为主,揭示了其深浅构造特征与全新世活动规律。巩留南断裂走向近EW,倾向S,倾角为20 °~67 °,表现出前展式逆冲构造模式。断裂的垂直滑动速率为0.12 mm/a,倾滑速率为0.21 mm/a,表明其在晚第四纪具有弱活动性。巩留南断裂位于阿吾拉勒山发震构造中,结合断裂地表破裂长度与最大地表位移,评估其最大潜在震级为6.9~7.5级。
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Abstract: The Gongliunan Fault is located along the southern boundary of the Yining Basin. Together with the Kashi River Fault, it controls the formation and evolution of the Yining Basin, as well as the deposition and deformation of Cenozoic strata within the basin. As a major fault in Xinyuan County, its Late Quaternary activity is of great significance for assessing the seismic hazard in the region. This study first employed deep and shallow seismic exploration to reveal the location and deep geometric characteristics of the Gongliunan Fault. Subsequently, geological outcrops and trench profiles were utilized to determine the shallow surface position of the fault and define its structural style. Finally, optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating was applied to determine the activity age of the Gongliunan Fault. By integrating multiple methods-including deep and shallow seismic exploration, geological section research, and OSL dating-this study is the first to clearly demonstrate that the Gongliunan Fault is dominated by thrust activity, thereby revealing its deep and shallow structural features as well as its Holocene activity patterns.The Gongliunan Fault strikes approximately EW, dips southward, and has a dip angle ranging from 20° to 67°, exhibiting a forward-propagating thrust structural model. The fault has a vertical slip rate of 0.12 mm/a and a dip-slip rate of 0.21 mm/a, indicating weak activity during the Late Quaternary. Located within the seismogenic structure of the Awulale Mountains, the maximum potential magnitude of the Gongliunan Fault is estimated to be between 6.9 and 7.5 , based on its surface rupture length and maximum surface displacement. -
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