Ground Motion Simulation for the Yangbi Earthquake by the Two-Step Stochastic Empirical Green’s Function Method
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摘要:
两步随机经验格林函数(EGF)法不需要依赖震源破裂过程的运动学描述,在目标地震的地震动模拟中具有显著优势。本文采用两步随机EGF方法模拟2021年漾濞MS6.5地震的地震动,选取漾濞地震序列中9次小地震的观测记录作为EGF,重点探讨了EGF选取、小地震或目标地震的震源破裂方向性、地震应力降对模拟结果的影响,得到以下结论:1)EGF选取对模拟结果有明显影响,选取不同EGF时目标地震同台站模拟记录的标准差接近于小地震的事件间标准差,体现了小地震的震源效应在模拟地震动中映射;2)单次小地震的观测记录作为EGF时,模拟记录的不确定性反映了与传播路径相关的地震动的不确定性,说明EGF方法给出的模拟记录能很好的体现地震动的传播路径效应;3)模拟中应重视地震的应力降和地震的破裂方向性效应,应力降的偏差会造成模拟记录系统性偏差,震源破裂方向性则对模拟记录的空间分布特征有显著影响。
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关键词:
Abstract:The two-step stochastic Empirical Green’s Function (EGF) method does not rely on kinematic descriptions of source rupture processes, offering significant advantages in simulating ground motions for target earthquakes. In this study, we employed the two-step stochastic EGF method to simulate the ground motions of the 2021 Yangbi MS 6.5 earthquake by selecting observed re-cordings from nine small earthquakes in the Yangbi earthquake sequence as EGFs. We focused on investigating the impacts of EGF selection, rupture directivity of small or target earthquakes, and stress drop on the simulation results. The following conclusions were drawn: 1) EGF selection significantly influences simulation results. When different EGFs are selected, the standard deviation of simulated records for the target earthquake at the same station approximates the inter-event standard deviation of small earthquakes, reflecting the mapping of source effects from small earthquakes into simulated ground motions; 2) When observed recordings from a single small earthquake are used as EGFs, the uncertainty in simulated records reflects the variability in ground motions related to propagation paths. This demonstrates that the EGF method effectively captures path effects in simulated ground motions; 3) Stress drop and rupture directivity effects must be carefully considered in simulations. Deviations in stress drop cause systematic errors in simulated recordings, while rupture directivity significantly affects the spatial distribution characteristics of simulated ground motions.
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